Showing posts with label philosophy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label philosophy. Show all posts

Saturday, August 30, 2008

Part Time Currency Trader

As I've written before it is quite easy to become a currency trader. The harder part is being a currency trader that doesn't lose money. You see, according to the scuttlebutt on the forums, about 90% of new traders end up losing their money to the market.

Are you thinking about trying your hand?

I'm not here to talk you out of it. I myself am a part time currency trader. By day I work at my office job and by night I fight crime with a mask and cape. Wait, no, that's not right. By night I trade online when family duties allow me to squander a chunk of time.

Trading part time has it's challenges. You will see endless market movements that you did not participate in. You will miss opportunities to open or close a position even though your ideas about what would happen next were proven right. In fact, a very large part of trading well involves being able to deal with the psychological aspects of trading, whether part time or not.

If you read other posts in my blog, such as this one on trading philosophy, you'll see that I recommend working with very small trades. If you take larger trades, relative to your available capital, you'll find the emotional stress greatly magnified. It is very difficult to make good decisions as you watch your capital evaporate before your eyes.

Nothing will drive you from the market quicker than watching your capital shrink, panicking and saving what little you can, and then watching the market reverse leaving you without a stake. Or, perhaps worse, you do get back in after seeing a healthy rise, only to watch the market reverse yet again and wreak havoc on your capital once again.

It happens. I'm sure it happens a lot.

Did I mention that I'm not trying to talk you out of becoming a currency trader? It certainly isn't impossible to trade successfully but you really have to understand that there are many different ways to be unsuccessful. One very easy way to fail is to enter the market during a period in which it is easy to understand market behavior, think that trading is quite easy, and then have the market turn upside down and brutally fleece you.

Let's see. Yes, another painful lesson is developing the discipline to set stops and then have them tripped trivially, while the market does in fact go in the direction that you expected. Of course, this sets you up for the opposite, hanging on to a trade endlessly expecting to go as you expected, while it sucks up more and more capital.

My advice, do become a currency trader. Take your time. Learn with a practice account. Eventually, switch to a micro or nano account and trade with very small amounts of money. Continue to play with very small capitalizations until you have blown up your account once or twice -- this happens when you get a margin call and all your funds (except active margin) are forfeited.

Take the long view. There is always going to be another opportunity. No currency pair moves only up or only down. When trading part time you must either make accurate predictions or tread softly enough that the market can't move far enough to cause a margin call.

Anyway, to get into some information you can act on, if you are totally new to the game you'll want to know the following:

  • Most, if not all, companies that offer online foreign exchange trading provide free forex demo accounts. These practice accounts are the same as live accounts except of course that you don't trade real money.

  • A currency trading platform is simply a fancy name for what is usually branded currency trading software. This software will let you view charts for various currency pairs, add indicators and execute trades

  • Forex trading is global. You can trade starting on Monday moring in Asia until Friday night in New York. Trading is 24 hours a day during this period though each trading session will offer differing market volume and behavior.

  • If you are looking for a place to open your first forex demo account I'd suggest Oanda. To ensure that you don't think I'm compensated to say that I'll ask you to search Google to find them. They are a reputable company that allows you to trade with very small amounts -- which is great for starting out.
Good luck my friend, I wish you every success.

Saturday, February 16, 2008

Forex Reflections

Saturday is a good time to reflect on Forex activities.

What did the markets do? What did I do? How much cooperation was there between these actions as measured by achievement of my goals?

As time passes, and I actively trade, I'm starting to notice trends. The entry points that cause me the most stress, that I end up regretting or being put in a position where I'm forced to make decisions, are the ones that occur near the top of a movement.

If you are silly enough to ask why anyone would get in near the top, just be assured that it is incredibly difficult not to do. I do have rules and strategies that are designed to protect me from such things, but at the same time my goals push against these security blankets.

Anyway, I have to devise some new strategies.

I simply am not going to have the time to babysit the market all day long while I watch CNBC anymore. I'll be sitting at a desk all day gainfully employed instead. However, this little tryst between the markets and I is not something I'm willing to give up at this time.

The lure of earning decent money, or better, is keeping me in the game. I've been doing a passable job during these turbulent times. I can imagine how I would do if these were not turbulent times. As the saying goes, a rising tide floats all boats.

If I've been able to weather the stormy periods with plenty of ups and downs, I'll be able to do much better when the economic sunshine starts to grace us once again. So, the real game plan in the medium term is to play safe. When things start to get better, when the weather starts to warm, I plan to be in the game.

My goal, and I've been experimenting with it for a few days, is to trade off balancing high cost and low cost positions to end up with medium cost positions. I know that doesn't sound very insightful or precise, but remember that I trade the AUDJPY and it's a good carry pair. So, what I'm suggesting is that I'll slowly work to lower my average price over time.

Sure, I know, that's easy, right? Just buy into new positions when the price is lower than your current average! The problem with that is that with limited capital it simply is not safe to enter into more and more positions. Pretty soon too much of your NAV (net asset value) is sunk into the market. Pretty soon you are carrying way too much risk and eating Rolaids for breakfast.

No thanks.

Create a budget, pop in some new funds on regular basis, and sink them into the market at opportune entry points. Over time you'll develop some positions that represent high cost entry points and others that are low cost. Those pairs can be canceled out and used to retry at some new lower entry point.

Time is a powerful thing so put it to work for you instead of struggling against it. Heck, it's a force of nature. Enlist it to your cause and then stay out of it's way.

Thursday, January 10, 2008

A Winning Forex Trading Philosophy

I'm starting to believe that being successful trading Forex has more to do with your philosophy than anything else.

You cannot trade based on how much money you want to make. You cannot trade based on how much money you need to make. This means that you can't push money into the market, desperately searching for opportunity, risking a large portion of your net asset value in the process.

You must trade lightly.

When you trade lightly, you simply let the market give you the returns that it is willing to relinquish to you. Quite simply, it is not a process of taking.

If you can change your mindset it will give you a lot of peace compared to the level of stress that many generate. Dip your toes into the market, following your strategy, with a level of investment that simply cannot begin to raise your blood pressure.

A little bit of market wisdom, developed with experience, combined with an appropriate philosophy will generate profits. I know that this is difficult to consider or even believe in today's rational calculating world, but the only way to win is to not fight the market. It is way too big for you.

Stop trying to generate winning positions and simply let the market give them to you.